Oxide and Friends：Simon Willison 谈开放权重革命
英文标题：Oxide and Friends: The Open Weight Revolution with Simon Willison
Simon Willison 做客 Oxide and Friends 播客，与 Bryan Cantrill 和 Adam Leventhal 讨论开放权重模型快速发展的关键一周。节目重点包括 Kimi K3 展现出可与专有前沿模型抗衡的能力、意外引发的网络安全攻击，以及业界关于开放权重与美国 AI 领导力的公开信。节目还回顾了对 2026 年的预测，并新增一项预测：教皇将在年底前谈及开放模型。对开发者和行业而言，开放权重模型的能力提升及其安全、政策影响，正成为 AI 竞争格局的重要变量。
中文
2026 年 7 月 31 日 - Link Blog
Oxide and Friends：Simon Willison 谈开放权重革命。周一，Bryan Cantrill 和 Adam Leventhal 邀请我参加他们的播客，讨论我们经历的这个疯狂一周——Kimi K3 证明开放权重模型可以与专有前沿模型正面抗衡、意外发生的网络安全攻击，以及几乎所有 AI 领域大人物都签署了的、有关开放权重与美国 AI 领导力的公开信（其中有一个显著例外）。
这是一场很棒的对话，尽管它已经过时了！如果我们的录制时间再晚几天，DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731 和 Anthropic 自身那起令人尴尬的网络安全事件肯定都会被纳入讨论。
我们还聊到了 Golden Gate Claude、Zizians、阿拉米达野生火鸡袭击事件、苏联马尔堡病毒研究、铅犯罪假说，以及许多其他值得展开的题外话。
最后，我们重新审视了我们在 1 月作出的一些预测，并新增了一项关于教皇的预测：
预测：在今年年底前，教皇会就开放模型说些什么。
English / 原文
31st July 2026 - Link Blog
Oxide and Friends: The Open Weight Revolution with Simon Willison. On Monday Bryan Cantrill and Adam Leventhal invited me to join their podcast to talk about the wild week we've had - with Kimi K3 showing open weight models can stand toe-to-toe with proprietary frontier ones, accidental cybersecurity attacks, and public letters about Open Weights and American AI Leadership signed by almost every big name in AI (with one notable exception).
It was a great conversation, even though it's already out-of-date! DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731 and Anthropic's own embarrassing cyber incident would absolutely have made the cut if we had recorded just a few days later.
We also talk about Golden Gate Claude, the Zizians, Alameda wild turkey attacks, Soviet Marburg virus research, the Lead-crime hypothesis, and a bunch of other worthy digressions.
Finally, we revisited some of our predictions from January, and we added a new Pope prediction:
Prediction by the end of this year: the Pope says something about open models.